Entries by jm

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2020-04-02 COVID-19 Update

Today is a newsy day. Here is the crux of all of today’s update: it’s going to be worse than you think, but that isn’t as bad as you think, as long as we keep doing the right things. First, a core assumption in our own projections: we assume that COVID-19 is bi-partisan, non-racist and […]

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2020-04-01 COVID-19 Update

Today is about map reading, and accuracy. The biggest we face — at least at JM Addington — in projecting out what the next few weeks look like is the lack of consistent, quality data. First, a really quick primer on the stats we are watching: New hospitalizations: Number of new people admitted to the […]

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2020-03-31 COVID-19 Update

Today is a trees day more than a forest. Most of today isn’t news, it is a report on where we are on the upward curve. KNOXVILLE: Mayor Kincannon issuing her own “safer at home” order in addition to the order issued by the county health department. Kincannon’s order is specific to the city of […]

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2020-03-30 COVID-19 Update

Governer Bill Lee issued a “safer at home” order today. Like what we have in Knox County already, it isn’t a mandated “stay-at-home” order but closes “non-essential” businesses. Page 7 of the order and after defines Essential Services in the executive order, it appears to be the same list we linked to from CISA last […]

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2020-03-29 COVID-19 Update

It’s hard to write any one of these and feel that we’ve covered it adequately. There is a lot more analysis that could be done just on the topics we touch on here today. Consider this update a look at the forest more broadly than the trees. Just this evening President Trump extended the social […]

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2020-03-27 COVID-19 Update

Today is a highly abbreviated update: we are going to take a day or two to step back to make sure that we can see the forest for the trees. Numbers: The US, Italy, NY, and NJ are all up yesterday and today. Moreover, testing still seems inadequate in many areas, at best. We keep […]

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2020-03-26 COVID-19 Update

US cases are at 83,200, up from 65,650 yesterday. New York continues to make up about half of those cases, with a significant jump in New Jersey. Tennessee is up to 957 cases from 784 yesterday. Knox county moved up to 28 from 20. We continue to expect that the real number is higher. Before […]

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2020-03-25 COVID-19 Update

US cases are at 65,652, up from 52,900 yesterday. New York continues to make up about half of those cases. Tennessee is up to 784 cases from 667 yesterday. Knox county officially moved up to 20 from 13. We continue to expect that the real number is higher. We don’t have much to say today, […]

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2020-03-24 COVID-19 PM Update

For the last few days we’ve been preparing internal reports twice a day for staff. We’ve decided to release these publicly to help you plan. US cases are at 52,900, up from 42,400 yesterday morning. New York state makes up nearly half, coming in near 26,000 alone. New Jersey is the state closest behind at […]

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2020-03-23 COVID-19 PM Update

For the last few days we’ve been preparing internal reports twice a day for staff. We’ve decided to release these publicly to help you plan. US cases are at 42,400, up from 26,900 yesterday morning. New York state makes up nearly half, coming in at 20,900 alone. New Jersey is the state closest behind at […]